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A safe operating space for humanity
Identifying and quantifying planetary boundaries that must not be transgressed could help prevent human activities from causing unacceptable environmental ...
El Nino in a changing climate
El Nino events, characterized by anomalous warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, have global climatic teleconnections and are the most dominant ...
CLIMATE’S SMOKY SPECTRE
With their focus on greenhouse gases, atmospheric scientists have largely overlooked lowly soot particles. But black carbon is now a hot topic among ...
COMMENTARY: Overshoot, adapt and recover
We will probably overshoot our current climate targets, so policies of adaptation and recovery need much more attention, say Martin Parry, Jason Lowe and Clair ...
ESSAY : The worst-case scenario
Stephen Schneider explores what a world with 1,000 parts per million of CO2 in its atmosphere might look like.
Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere
Localized ecological systems are known to shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another when they are forced across critical thresholds. Here we ...
A global synthesis reveals biodiversity loss as a major driver of ecosystem change
Evidence is mounting that extinctions are altering key processes important to the productivity and sustainability of Earth’s ecosystems (1–4). Further species ...
Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity
The most unique feature of Earth is the existence of life, and the most extraordinary feature of life is its diversity. Approximately 9 million types of ...
A large source of low-volatility secondary organic aerosol
Forests emit large quantities of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) to the atmosphere. Their condensable oxidation products can form secondary organic aerosol, ...
Carbon loss from an unprecedented Arctic tundra wildfire
Arctic tundra soils store large amounts of carbon (C) in organic soil layers hundreds to thousands of years old that insulate, and in some cases maintain, ...
Coastal habitats shield people and property from sea-level rise and storms
Extreme weather, sea-level rise and degraded coastal ecosystems are placing people and property at greater risk of damage from coastal hazards 1–5. The ...
Delayed phenology and reduced fitness associated with climate change in a wild hibernator
The most commonly reported ecological effects of climate change are shifts in phenologies, in particular of warmer spring temperatures leading to earlier ...
Comment: The end of cheap coal
New forecasts suggest that coal reserves will run out faster than many believe. Energy policies relying on cheap coal have no future, say Richard Heinberg and ...
Civil conflicts are associated with the global climate
It has been proposed that changes in global climate have been responsible for episodes of widespread violence and even the collapse of civilizations 1,2. Yet ...
Ecohydrologic separation of water between trees and streams in a Mediterranean climate
Water movement in upland humid watersheds from the soil surface to the stream is often described using the concept of translatory flow (1,2), which assumes ...
Activation of old carbon by erosion of coastal and subsea permafrost in Arctic Siberia
The future trajectory of greenhouse gas concentrations depends on interactions between climate and the biogeosphere1,2. Thawing of Arctic permafrost could ...
Comment: Time to Model all Life on Earth
To help transform our understanding of the biosphere, ecologists — like climate scientists — should simulate whole ecosystems, argue Drew Purves and ...
Comment: Don’t judge species on their origins
SUMMARY: Conservationists should assess organisms on environmental impact rather than on whether they are natives, argue Mark Davis and 18 other ecologists. ...
Atmospheric CO2 forces abrupt vegetation shifts locally, but not globally
It is possible that anthropogenic climate change will drive the Earth system into a qualitatively different state1. Although different types of uncertainty ...
Asymmetric effects of economic growth and decline on CO2 emissions
Letter to Editor: Excerpt: "Why does economic decline not have an effect on CO2 emissions that is symmetrical with the effect of economic growth? There are ...
Analysing fossil-fuel displacement
It is commonly assumed that fossil fuels can be replaced by alternative forms of energy. Now research challenges this assumption, and highlights the role of ...
Enhanced poleward moisture transport and amplified northern high-latitude wetting trend
Observations and climate change projections forced by greenhouse gas emissions have indicated a wetting trend in northern high latitudes, evidenced by ...
Anthropogenic influence on multidecadal changes in reconstructed global evapotranspiration
Global warming is expected to intensify the global hydrological cycle1, with an increase of both evapotranspiration (EVT) and precipitation. Yet, the magnitude ...
Energy consumption and the unexplained winter warming over northern Asia and North America
The worldwide energy consumption in 2006 was close to 498 exajoules. This is equivalent to an energy convergence of 15.8 TW into the populated regions, where ...
Commentary: The climate policy narrative for a dangerously warming world
It is time to acknowledge that global average temperatures are likely to rise above the 2 °C policy target and consider how that deeply troubling prospect ...
A systems approach to evaluating the air quality co-benefits of US carbon policies
Because human activities emit greenhouse gases (GHGs) and conventional air pollutants from common sources, policy designed to reduce GHGs can have co-benefits ...
Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress
Forests provide innumerable ecological, societal and climatological benefits, yet they are vulnerable to drought and temperature extremes. Climate-driven ...
A drought-induced pervasive increase in tree mortality across Canada’s boreal forests
Drought-induced tree mortality is expected to increase worldwide under projected future climate changes (1–4). The Canadian boreal forests, which occupy about ...
An extreme climatic event alters marine ecosystem structure in a global biodiversity hotspot
Extreme climatic events, such as heat waves, are predicted to increase in frequency and magnitude as a consequence of global warming but their ecological ...
Editorial : Half-hearted engineering
Climate warming is not the only consequence of rising levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases. The only way to counter all effects, including those on rainfall ...
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