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Development of a Spatially Explicit Surface Coal Mining Predictive Model
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The goal of this project was to create a spatially explicit 1km2 grid cell model for the Appalachian Landscape Conservation Cooperative (Figure 1) predicting where surface coal mining is likely to occur in in a projected future time period, under two different scenarios. To accomplish this goal we combined GIS spatial analysis, a Random Forests predictive model, and future mining buildout scenarios. This report provides a detailed methodology of our approach and discussion of our results.
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Tools & Resources
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Assessing Future Energy Development
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Development of a Spatially Explicit Surface Coal Mining Predictive Model
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The goal of this project was to create a spatially explicit 1km2 grid cell model for the Appalachian Landscape Conservation Cooperative (Figure 1) predicting where surface coal mining is likely to occur in in a projected future time period, under two different scenarios. To accomplish this goal we combined GIS spatial analysis, a Random Forests predictive model, and future mining buildout scenarios. This report provides a detailed methodology of our approach and discussion of our results.
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Research
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Workspace
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Deliverables
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EISPC Energy Zones Mapping Tool Newsletter
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Detailing the webinars, maps, and analysis highlights from the Energy Zones Mapping Tool.
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News & Events
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EISPC Energy Zones Mapping Tool
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The Eastern Interconnection States' Planning Council (EISPC) Energy Zones Mapping Tool is a free online tool that enables users to identify potential clean energy resource areas within the Eastern Transmission Interconnection. The tool includes nine types of energy resources to be considered for clean energy generation facilities in the U.S. portion of the Eastern Interconnection. These types are biomass, clean coal technologies with carbon capture and sequestration, geothermal, natural gas, nuclear, solar (photovoltaic and concentrated solar thermal, as well as rooftop photovoltaic solar), storage (pumped-hydro storage and compressed-air energy storage), water (hydroelectric power), and wind (both land-based and offshore). For each of these major categories, the resource data and information have been compiled, reviewed, and assembled into a GIS database. The Mapping Tool provides a way to put environmental data into the hands of energy planners and can be used by agencies or NGOs as a starting point for a dialog about their conservation objectives.
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Resources
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GIS & Planning
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Other Conservation & Planning Tools
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EISPC Energy Zones Mapping Tool
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The Eastern Interconnection States' Planning Council (EISPC) Energy Zones Mapping Tool is a free online tool that enables users to identify potential clean energy resource areas within the Eastern Transmission Interconnection. The tool includes nine types of energy resources to be considered for clean energy generation facilities in the U.S. portion of the Eastern Interconnection. These types are biomass, clean coal technologies with carbon capture and sequestration, geothermal, natural gas, nuclear, solar (photovoltaic and concentrated solar thermal, as well as rooftop photovoltaic solar), storage (pumped-hydro storage and compressed-air energy storage), water (hydroelectric power), and wind (both land-based and offshore). For each of these major categories, the resource data and information have been compiled, reviewed, and assembled into a GIS database. The Mapping Tool provides a way to put environmental data into the hands of energy planners and can be used by agencies or NGOs as a starting point for a dialog about their conservation objectives.
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Planning In Practice
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Conservation Planning Projects
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Energy Assessment News Release
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A new study and online mapping tool by the Appalachian Landscape Conservation Cooperative (LCC) and The Nature Conservancy are intended to inform discussions among conservation agencies and organizations, industry, policy makers, regulators and the public on how to protect essential natural resources while realizing the benefits of increased domestic energy production.
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Tools & Resources
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Assessing Future Energy Development
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Energy consumption and the unexplained winter warming over northern Asia and North America
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The worldwide energy consumption in 2006 was close to 498 exajoules. This is equivalent to an energy convergence of 15.8 TW into the populated regions, where energy is consumed and dissipated into the atmosphere as heat. Although energy consumption is sparsely distributed over the vast Earth surface and is only about 0.3% of the total energy transport to the extratropics by atmospheric and oceanic circulations, this anthropogenic heating could disrupt the normal atmospheric circulation pattern and produce a far-reaching effect on surface air temperature. We identify the plausible climate impacts of energy consumption using a global climate model. The results show that the inclusion of energy use at 86 model grid points where it exceeds 0.4 W m−2 can lead to remote surface temperature changes by as much as 1K in mid- and high latitudes in winter and autumn over North America and Eurasia. These regions correspond well to areas with large differences in surface temperature trends between observations and global warming simulations forced by all natural and anthropogenic forcings 1. We conclude that energy consumption is probably a missing forcing for the additional winter warming trends in observations.
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Resources
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Climate Science Documents
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Energy Forcasts Team
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The rapid pace of new energy development coupled with more aggressive methods for extracting traditional fuels pose substantial risks to some of the Appalachians most cherished lands, waterways, and wildlife. Currently, little effort has been paid to the effect of energy development on the swaths of relatively intact, recovering forest habitat that define the Central Appalachian Region. This project employs land use change build-out scenarios from future energy development demand to quantify future impacts on forest habitats across the Appalachian LCC.
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LP Members
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Workspaces
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Energy Opportunities and Challenges
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Cooperative
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Our Plan
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Section 1: Biodiversity and Conservation Challenges Across the Appalachian Region
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Environmental Flows from Water Withdrawals in the Marcellus Shale Region
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The Appalachian LCC collaborated with Cornell University to study the environmental impacts of water withdrawals in the Central Appalachian region. The rivers and streams of the Central Appalachians are home to more than 200 species of fish and other aquatic life. They also provide a reliable source of drinking water, recreational opportunities and associated economic benefits to people living in large cities and surrounding communities. This research looks at how the region’s surface freshwater supply – and the health of natural systems delivering this resource – have been impacted and may be altered in the coming years under increasing water withdrawals. It focuses on the Marcellus Shale region in the Central Appalachians, including portions of NY, PA, OH, MD, WV and VA.
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Research
