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The 2010 Amazon Drought

Several global circulation models (GCMs) project an increase in the frequency and severity of drought events affecting the Amazon region as a consequence of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions (1). The proximate cause is twofold, increasing Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs), which may intensify El Niño Southern Oscillation events and associated periodic Amazon droughts, and an increase in the frequency of historically rarer droughts associated with high Atlantic SSTs and northwest displacement of the intertropical convergence zone (1, 2). Such droughts may lead to a loss of some Amazon forests, which would accelerate climate change (3). In 2005, a major Atlantic SST–associated drought occurred, identified as a 1-in-100-year event (2). Here, we report on a second drought in 2010, when Atlantic SSTs were again high.

Publication Date: 2011

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