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Amid Worrisome Signs of Warming, ‘Climate Fatigue’ Sets In
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As scientists debate whether climate is changing faster than anticipated, some worry that a
drumbeat of dire warnings may be helping to erode U.S. public concerns about global warming
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Resources
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Climate Science Documents
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Appalachian Energy Forecast Model
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This web-based map tool of the energy assessment combines multiple layers of data on energy development trends and important natural resource and ecosystem services, to give a more comprehensive picture of what potential energy development could look like in the Appalachians. The tool shows where energy development is most likely to occur and indicates areas where such development may intersect with other significant values like intact forests, important streams, and vital ecological services such as drinking water supplies.
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Are there basic physical constraints on future anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide?
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Here, it is shown both theoretically and observationally how the evolution of the human system can be considered from a surprisingly simple thermodynamic perspective in which it is unnecessary to explicitly model two of the emissions drivers: population and standard of living. Specifically, the human system grows through a self-perpetuating feedback loop in which the consumption rate of primary energy resources stays tied to the historical accumulation of global economic production—or p × g—through a time-independent factor of 9.7 ± 0.3 mW per inflation-adjusted 1990 US dollar. This important constraint, and the fact that f and c have historically varied rather slowly, points towards substantially narrowed visions of future emissions scenarios for implementation in GCMs.
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Resources
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Climate Science Documents
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Assessing Future Energy Development Fact Sheet
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Provides a general overview of the need for the Energy Assessment research, the major products and findings that came out of the project, and the relevance of the study, models, and tools to the resource management community.
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Resources
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How-To Guides and Handouts
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Assessing Future Energy Development across the Appalachian LCC. Final Report
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In this study funded by the Appalachian LCC, The Nature Conservancy assessed current and future energy development across the entire region. The research combined multiple layers of data on energy development trends and important natural resource and ecosystem services to give a comprehensive picture of what future energy development could look like in the Appalachians. It also shows where likely energy development areas will intersect with other significant values like intact forests, important streams, and vital ecological services such as drinking water supplies.
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Tools & Resources
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Assessing Future Energy Development
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Assessing Future Energy Development across the Appalachians
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The Nature Conservancy - with support from the Appalachian LCC - has completed a study to assist policy makers, land management agencies, and industry in assessing potential future energy development and how that may overlap with biological and ecological values.
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Tools
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Assessing Future Energy Development across the Appalachians
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The Nature Conservancy - with support from the FWS - has completed a study to assist policy makers, land management agencies, and industry in assessing potential future energy development and how that may overlap with biological and ecological values.
Located in
Tools & Resources
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Assessing Future Impacts of Energy Extraction in the Appalachian LCC
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4th Quarter 2013 Progress report
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Research
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Quarterly Reports Folder
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Q4 2013 Reporting Materials and Reviews
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Coal Development Probability
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This map depicts the future probability of development for Coal throughout the Appalachian LCC.
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Planning In Practice
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Funded Project Maps
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Development of a Spatially Explicit Surface Coal Mining Predictive Model
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The goal of this project was to create a spatially explicit 1km2 grid cell model for the Appalachian Landscape Conservation Cooperative (Figure 1) predicting where surface coal mining is likely to occur in in a projected future time period, under two different scenarios. To accomplish this goal we combined GIS spatial analysis, a Random Forests predictive model, and future mining buildout scenarios. This report provides a detailed methodology of our approach and discussion of our results.
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Tools & Resources
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Assessing Future Energy Development