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File Climate Projections FAQ
by lesley_sneddon — published May 14, 2019 — filed under:
USFS guidance on use of downscaled climate data
Located in LP Members / … / Project Documents / Literature
File Do geographic distribution, niche property and life form explain plants' vulnerability to global change?
by lesley_sneddon — published Sep 09, 2013 — last modified May 14, 2019 07:56 PM — filed under:
Author's abstract: We modelled the future distribution in 2050 of 975 endemic plant species in southern Africa distributed among seven life forms, including new methodological insights improving the accuracy and ecological realism of predictions of global changes studies by: (i) using only endemic species as a way to capture the full realized niche of species, (ii) considering the direct impact of human pressure on landscape and biodiversity jointly with climate, and (iii) taking species' migration into account. Our analysis shows important promises for predicting the impacts of climate change in conjunction with land transformation. We have shown that the endemic flora of Southern Africa on average decreases with 41% in species richness among habitats and with 39% on species distribution range for the most optimistic scenario. We also compared the patterns of species' sensitivity with global change across life forms, using ecological and geographic characteristics of species. We demonstrate here that species and life form vulnerability to global changes can be partly explained according to species' (i) geographical distribution along climatic and biogeographic gradients, like climate anomalies, (ii) niche breadth or (iii) proximity to barrier preventing migration. Our results confirm that the sensitivity of a given species to global environmental changes depends upon its geographical distribution and ecological proprieties, and makes it possible to estimate a priori its potential sensitivity to these changes.
Located in LP Members / … / Project Documents / Literature
File ECMAScript program Clark, J.S. et al. Climate change vulnerability of forest biodiversity: climate and competition tracking of demographic rates
by lesley_sneddon — published Sep 09, 2013 — last modified May 14, 2019 07:56 PM — filed under:
Author's Abstract Forest responses to climate change will depend on demographic impacts in the context of competition. Current models used to predict species responses, termed climate envelope models (CEMs), are controversial, because (i) calibration and prediction are based on correlations in space (CIS) between species abundance and climate, rather than responses to climate change over time (COT), and (ii) they omit competition. To determine the relative importance of COT, CIS, and competition for light, we applied a longitudinal analysis of 27 000 individual trees over 6–18 years subjected to experimental and natural variation in risk factors. Sensitivities and climate and resource tracking identify which species are vulnerable to these risk factors and in what ways. Results show that responses to COT differ from those predicted based on CIS. The most important impact is the effect of spring temperature on fecundity, rather than any input variable on growth or survival. Of secondary importance is growing season moisture. Species in the genera Pinus, Ulmus, Magnolia, and Fagus are particularly vulnerable to climate variation. However, the effect of competition on growth and mortality risk exceeds the effects of climate variation in space or time for most species. Because sensitivities to COT and competition are larger than CIS, current models miss the most important effects. By directly comparing sensitivity to climate in time and space, together with competition, the approach identifies which species are sensitive to climate change and why, including the heretofore overlooked impact on fecundity.
Located in LP Members / … / Project Documents / Literature
File text/texmacs Overview of FY 11-12 Funded Projects
by Matthew Cimitile — published Feb 22, 2013 — last modified Aug 28, 2013 10:56 AM — filed under: , ,
Describes the six projects currently funded by the Appalachian LCC through 2012. These include a Stream Classification System, Development of Hydrologic Foundation, Assessing Future Impacts of Energy Extraction, Understanding Land Use and Climate Change, Riparian Restoration Tool to Promote Climate Change Resilience, and Data Needs Assessment to Support Conservation Planning.
Located in Cooperative / … / Past SC Meetings and Materials / ISC Call for February 11, 2013
File text/texmacs NFWP Climate Adaptation Strategy - Highlights
by NFWP — published Jun 25, 2013 — last modified Aug 27, 2013 09:51 AM — filed under:
Highlights to the full report.
Located in Cooperative / … / Material for SC Call 6/26/13 / National Fish, Wildlife, & Plants Climate Adaptation Strategy
File Crosswalk between the Appalachian LCC and the NFWPCAS
by Jean Brennan — published Jul 18, 2013 — last modified Aug 28, 2013 10:59 AM — filed under: ,
A crosswalk between the Appalachian LCC objectives, actions, and funded research as addressed in the 5-Year Work Plan and the National Fish, Wildlife, and Plant Climate Adaptation Strategy.
Located in Cooperative / … / Past SC Meetings and Materials / Material for SC Call 6/26/13
Video Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments Project Update
by Matthew Cimitile — published Mar 03, 2014 — last modified Mar 04, 2022 04:19 PM — filed under: , , , , ,
This presentation from Lesley Sneddon of NatureServe provides an update to the Steering Committee on a Appalachian LCC funded research project. Research is compiling climate change vulnerability assessments and other relevant information on vulnerable species and habitats, discerning the various methodologies and criteria used in these assessments, and using a team of expert peer reviewers to recommend the most efficient, effective, and appropriate methods for adoption by the Appalachian LCC for conservation and adaptation planning. The recommended method will then be deployed, resulting in vulnerability assessments for a suite of key species/habitats selected in consultation with partners of the Appalachian LCC.
Located in Cooperative / … / Past SC Meetings and Materials / Steering Committee Call 3/6/14
Operational Plan
by Jean Brennan — published Dec 20, 2012 — last modified Aug 21, 2015 04:02 PM — filed under:
The Appalachian LCC Operational Plan provides an overview on the conservation challenges in the Appalachian region, identifies the members of the conservation science and management communities, and presents the Science Needs and specific conservation targets and goals to meet landscape conservation objectives as identified in the Steering Committee's 5-Year Work Plan.
Located in Cooperative
The Conservation Challenge
by Jean Brennan — published Dec 20, 2012 — last modified Aug 28, 2013 11:14 AM — filed under: ,
Located in Cooperative / Our Plan / Section 1: Biodiversity and Conservation Challenges Across the Appalachian Region
Climate Change
by Jean Brennan — published Dec 21, 2012 — last modified Aug 28, 2013 10:55 AM — filed under:
Located in Cooperative / Our Plan / Section 1: Biodiversity and Conservation Challenges Across the Appalachian Region