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A safe operating space for humanity
Identifying and quantifying planetary boundaries that must not be transgressed could help prevent human activities from causing unacceptable environmental ...
Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere
Localized ecological systems are known to shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another when they are forced across critical thresholds. Here we ...
A global synthesis reveals biodiversity loss as a major driver of ecosystem change
Evidence is mounting that extinctions are altering key processes important to the productivity and sustainability of Earth’s ecosystems (1–4). Further species ...
Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity
The most unique feature of Earth is the existence of life, and the most extraordinary feature of life is its diversity. Approximately 9 million types of ...
Carbon loss from an unprecedented Arctic tundra wildfire
Arctic tundra soils store large amounts of carbon (C) in organic soil layers hundreds to thousands of years old that insulate, and in some cases maintain, ...
Coastal habitats shield people and property from sea-level rise and storms
Extreme weather, sea-level rise and degraded coastal ecosystems are placing people and property at greater risk of damage from coastal hazards 1–5. The ...
Civil conflicts are associated with the global climate
It has been proposed that changes in global climate have been responsible for episodes of widespread violence and even the collapse of civilizations 1,2. Yet ...
Atmospheric CO2 forces abrupt vegetation shifts locally, but not globally
It is possible that anthropogenic climate change will drive the Earth system into a qualitatively different state1. Although different types of uncertainty ...
Analysing fossil-fuel displacement
It is commonly assumed that fossil fuels can be replaced by alternative forms of energy. Now research challenges this assumption, and highlights the role of ...
Commentary: The climate policy narrative for a dangerously warming world
It is time to acknowledge that global average temperatures are likely to rise above the 2 °C policy target and consider how that deeply troubling prospect ...
Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress
Forests provide innumerable ecological, societal and climatological benefits, yet they are vulnerable to drought and temperature extremes. Climate-driven ...
Committed terrestrial ecosystem changes due to climate change
Targets for stabilizing climate change are often based on considerations of the impacts of different levels of global warming, usually assessing the time of ...
A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
Causal attribution of recent biological trends to climate change is complicated because non-climatic influences dominate local, short-term biological changes. ...
Climatic change and wetland desiccation cause amphibian decline in Yellowstone National Park
Amphibians are a bellwether for environmental degradation, even in natural ecosystems such as Yellowstone National Park in the western United States, where ...
Basic mechanism for abrupt monsoon transitions
Monsoon systems influence the livelihood of hundreds of millions of people. During the Holocene and last glacial period, rainfall in India and China has ...
Climate negotiations under scientific uncertainty
How does uncertainty about “dangerous” climate change affect the prospects for international cooperation? Climate negotiations usually are depicted as a ...
Delayed detection of climate mitigation benefits due to climate inertia and variability
Climate change mitigation acts by reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and thus curbing, or even reversing, the increase in their atmospheric concentration. This ...
Dispersal will limit ability of mammals to track climate change in the Western Hemisphere
As they have in response to past climatic changes, many species will shift their distributions in response to modern climate change. However, due to the ...
Clone history shapes Populus drought responses
Just as animal monozygotic twins can experience different environmental conditions by being reared apart, individual genetically identical trees of the genus ...
Competitive and demographic leverage points of community shifts under climate warming
Accelerating rates of climate change and a paucity of whole-community studies of climate impacts limit our ability to forecast shifts in ecosystem structure ...
Can a collapse of global civilization be avoided?
Environmental problems have contributed to numerous collapses of civilizations in the past. ... But today, for the first time, humanity’s global ...
Climate Change Hot Spots Mapped Across the United States
Taking some of the fuzziness out of climate models is revealing the uneven U.S. impact of future global warming; the most severely affected region may be ...
A Measurable Planetary Boundary for the Biosphere
Terrestrial net primary (plant) production provides a measurable boundary for human consumption of Earth’s biological resources.
Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment
Catastrophic ecological regime shifts may be announced in advance by statistical early warning signals such as slowing return rates from perturbation and ...
Biodiversity in a Warmer World
A new framework helps to understand how species ranges change under global warming.
Complexity of Coupled Human and Natural Systems
Integrated studies of coupled human and natural systems reveal new and complex patterns and processes not evident when studied by social or natural scientists ...
Amid Worrisome Signs of Warming, ‘Climate Fatigue’ Sets In
As scientists debate whether climate is changing faster than anticipated, some worry that a drumbeat of dire warnings may be helping to erode U.S. public ...
Biodiversity and Climate Change
Efforts to elucidate the effect of climate change on biodiversity with detailed data sets and refined models reach novel conclusions.
Drought Sensitivity of the Amazon Rainforest
Amazon forests are a key but poorly understood component of the global carbon cycle. If, as anticipated, they dry this century, they might accelerate climate ...
A Determination of the Cloud Feedback from Climate Variations over the Past Decade
Estimates of Earth's climate sensitivity are uncertain, largely because of uncertainty in the long-term cloud feedback. I estimated the magnitude of the cloud ...
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