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A Measurable Planetary Boundary for the Biosphere
Terrestrial net primary (plant) production provides a measurable boundary for human consumption of Earth’s biological resources.
Drought Sensitivity of the Amazon Rainforest
Amazon forests are a key but poorly understood component of the global carbon cycle. If, as anticipated, they dry this century, they might accelerate climate ...
Ecological Restoration in the Light of Ecological History
Ecological history plays many roles in ecological restoration, most notably as a tool to identify and characterize appropriate targets for restoration ...
Ecosystem Service Markets 101: Supply and Demand for Nature
Establishing markets for ecosystem services—the benefits that nature provides, such as clean air, water, and wildlife habitat—has gained traction in some ...
Adaptation: Planning for Climate Change and Its Effects on Federal Lands
National forest managers are charged with tackling the effects of climate change on the natural resources under their care. The Forest Service National ...
An Uncertain Future for Soil Carbon
Predictions of how rapidly the large amounts of carbon stored as soil organic matter will respond to warming are highly uncertain (1). Organic matter plays a ...
Amazon Basin climate under global warming: the role of the sea surface temperature
The Hadley Centre coupled climate–carbon cycle model (HadCM3LC) predicts loss of the Amazon rainforest in response to future anthropogenic greenhouse gas ...
A westward extension of the warm pool leads to a westward extension of the Walker circulation, drying eastern Africa
Observations and simulations link anthropogenicgreenhouse and aerosol emissions with rapidly increasing Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Over the ...
Columbia Water Center White Paper America’s Water Risk: Water Stress and Climate Variability
The emerging awareness of the dependence of business on water has resulted in increasing awareness of the concept of “Water Risk” and the diverse ways in which ...
Carbon debt and carbon sequestration parity in forest bioenergy production
The capacity for forests to aid in climate change mitigation efforts is substantial but will ultimately depend on their management. If forests remain ...
Domesticated Nature: Shaping Landscapes and Ecosystems for Human Welfare
Like all species, humans have exercised their impulse to perpetuate and propagate themselves. In doing so, we have domesticated landscapes and ecosystems in ...
A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests
Greenhouse gas emissions have significantly altered global climate, and will continue to do so in the future. Increases in the frequency, duration, and/or ...
Scenarios of future land use change around United States’ protected areas
Land use change around protected areas can diminish their conservation value, making it important to predict future land use changes nearby. Our goal was to ...
A long-term perspective on a modern drought in the American Southeast
The depth of the 2006–9 drought in the humid, southeastern US left several metropolitan areas with only a 60–120 day water supply. To put the region’s recent ...
Reconciling nature conservation and traditional farming practices: a spatially explicit framework to assess the extent of High Nature Value farmlands in the European countryside
Over past centuries, European landscapes have been shaped by human management. Traditional, low intensity agricultural practices, adapted to local climatic, ...
Historical legacies accumulate to shape future biodiversity in an era of rapid global change
Main conclusions : The failure to give adequate consideration to widespread cumulative time-lags often masks the full extent of biodiversity changes that have ...
Sour Streams in Appalachia: Mapping Nature’s Buffer Against Sulfur Deposition
Sulfur emissions are regulated by the Environmental Protection Agency, but sulfuric acid that has leached into soil and streams can linger in the environment ...
Climate change-associated tree mortality increases without decreasing water availability
Here, we reveal temporally increasing tree mortality across all study species over the last three decades in the central boreal forests of Canada, where ...
Global change and the groundwater management challenge
With rivers in critical regions already exploited to capacity throughout the world and ground- water overdraft as well as large-scale contamination occurring ...
Uncertainty in the response of transpiration to CO2 and implications for climate change
While terrestrial precipitation is a societally highly relevant climate variable, there is little consensus among climate models about its projected 21st ...
The influence of contextual cues on the perceived status of consumption-reducing behavior
The question of whether and when behaviors that reduce overall consumption are associated with low status has not been adequately explored. Previous research ...
Ecosystem carbon stocks and sequestration potential of federal lands across the conterminous United States
Federal lands across the conterminous United States (CONUS) account for 23.5% of the CONUS terrestrial area but have received no systematic studies on their ...
Contrasting futures for ocean and society from different anthropogenic CO2 emissions scenarios
The ocean moderates anthropogenic climate change at the cost of profound alterations of its physics, chemistry, ecology, and services. Here, we evaluate and ...
Human domination of the biosphere: Rapid discharge of the earth-space battery foretells the future of humankind
Earth is a chemical battery where, over evolutionary time with a trickle-charge of photosynthesis using solar energy, billions of tons of living biomass were ...
Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises
No-analog communities (communities that are compositionally unlike any found today) occurred frequently in the past and will develop in the greenhouse world of ...
Formation of soil organic matter via biochemical and physical pathways of litter mass loss
Soil organic matter is the largest terrestrial carbon pool (1). The pool size depends on the balance between formation of soil organic matter from ...
Increasing Northern Hemisphere water deficit
A monthly water-balance model is used with CRUTS3.1 gridded monthly precip- itation and potential evapotranspiration (PET) data to examine changes in global ...
Downstream Warming and Headwater Acidity May Diminish Coldwater Habitat in Southern Appalachian Mountain Streams
Stream-dwelling species in the U.S. southern Appalachian Mountains region are particularly vulnerable to climate change and acidification. The objectives of ...
Experimental studies of dead-wood biodiversity — A review identifying global gaps in knowledge
The importance of dead wood for biodiversity is widely recognized but strategies for conservation exist only in some regions worldwide. Most strategies combine ...
Significant anthropogenic-induced changes of climate classes since 1950
Anthropogenic forcings have contributed to global and regional warming in the last few decades and likely affected terrestrial precipitation. Here we examine ...
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